AFL
PProjectPunt
Tom De Koning
Tom De Koning
St Kilda · @ NOR
12.5 DIO U
Hit rate
47% (7/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
12.7
L5
11.6
L10
11.4
High
21
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
20COLMar 0815MELMar 1521GWSMar 2111BRIMar 289PORApr 128ADEApr 189WCEApr 2611CARMay 0213GCSMay 0915RICMay 178FREMay 2212HAWMay 2815SYDJun 0715GWSJun 148WBDJun 21?NORJul 2612.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ NOR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom12.7
NOR340.7
Kicks
Tom6.1
NOR197.6
Marks
Tom3.2
NOR90.7
Tackles
Tom1.6
NOR54.6
Clearances
Tom2.8
NOR33.9
Inside 50s
Tom2.3
NOR52.3
Contested poss.
Tom7.1
NOR119.2
Goals
Tom0.7
NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Disposals

340.7per game · league avg 369.3
#18 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands11.6(7)-2.1
Everywhere else13.6(8)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)15.0(1)+2.5
Dry games12.5(14)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.