Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Will Setterfield

Essendon · vs ADE

3.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (3/6)

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Avg

3.8

3.4

L10

3.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Willvs all playersStatADE concedePer game

22.0Disposals356.6

13.3Kicks210.2

4.2Marks80.6

3.8Tackles60.7

3.2Clearances39.3

3.2Inside 50s52.4

7.7Contested Poss.138.8

0.3Goals11.1

Disposals

Will22.0

ADE356.6

Kicks

Will13.3

ADE210.2

Marks

Will4.2

ADE80.6

Tackles

Will3.8

ADE60.7

Clearances

Will3.2

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Will3.2

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Will7.7

ADE138.8

Goals

Will0.3

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Tackles

60.7per game · league avg 56.9

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands6.8(8)+0.7

Everywhere else6.1(25)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)5.8(5)-0.5

Dry games6.3(28)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.