Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

RIC

Oliver Hayes-Brown

Richmond · vs WCE

11.5 HOO —U —

Hit rate

43% (3/7)

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Avg

11.9

10.6

L10

11.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WCE

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Olivervs all playersStatWCE concedePer game

9.9Disposals371.4

2.7Kicks215.1

0.9Marks96.1

0.7Tackles61.7

3.4Clearances38.9

2.1Inside 50s52.9

8.0Contested Poss.133.7

0.1Goals14.7

Disposals

Oliver9.9

WCE371.4

Kicks

Oliver2.7

WCE215.1

Marks

Oliver0.9

WCE96.1

Tackles

Oliver0.7

WCE61.7

Clearances

Oliver3.4

WCE38.9

Inside 50s

Oliver2.1

WCE52.9

Contested Poss.

Oliver8.0

WCE133.7

Goals

Oliver0.1

WCE14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WCE concede · Hitouts

39.4per game · league avg 35.2

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Hitouts

At M.C.G.6.5(2)-7.5

Everywhere else14.0(5)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Hitouts

Wet games (≥1mm)10.0(1)-2.2

Dry games12.2(6)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.