AFL
PProjectPunt
Sam Grlj
Sam Grlj
Richmond · @ WBD
2.5 MKO U
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.9
L5
1.6
L10
2.4
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
7CARMar 124GCSMar 213FREMar 285PORApr 041GWSApr 122NORApr 192MELApr 242WCEMay 025STKMay 173ESSMay 224SYDMay 302BRIJun 141NORJun 213COLJun 272MELJul 120HAWJul 19?WBDJul 252.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ WBD
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Sam14.9
WBD388.2
Kicks
Sam8.1
WBD229.6
Marks
Sam2.9
WBD106.7
Tackles
Sam2.6
WBD61.2
Clearances
Sam0.5
WBD35.7
Inside 50s
Sam2.1
WBD54.1
Contested poss.
Sam2.9
WBD132.4
Goals
Sam0.1
WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Marks

106.7per game · league avg 93.0
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands3.5(2)+0.7
Everywhere else2.8(14)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.5(2)+0.7
Dry games2.8(14)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.