AFL
PProjectPunt
Sam Grlj
Sam Grlj
Richmond · @ WBD
8.5 KIO U
Hit rate
44% (7/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
8.1
L5
6.2
L10
7.2
High
13
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
13CARMar 127GCSMar 2111FREMar 2811PORApr 046GWSApr 1210NORApr 199MELApr 246WCEMay 028STKMay 179ESSMay 229SYDMay 307BRIJun 143NORJun 218COLJun 278MELJul 125HAWJul 19?WBDJul 258.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ WBD
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Sam14.9
WBD388.2
Kicks
Sam8.1
WBD229.6
Marks
Sam2.9
WBD106.7
Tackles
Sam2.6
WBD61.2
Clearances
Sam0.5
WBD35.7
Inside 50s
Sam2.1
WBD54.1
Contested poss.
Sam2.9
WBD132.4
Goals
Sam0.1
WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Kicks

229.6per game · league avg 213.8
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Docklands9.0(2)+1.0
Everywhere else8.0(14)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)8.0(2)-0.1
Dry games8.1(14)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.