AFL
PProjectPunt
Sam Grlj
Sam Grlj
Richmond · @ WBD
14.5 DIO U
Hit rate
56% (9/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
14.9
L5
12.8
L10
14.0
High
21
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
19CARMar 1213GCSMar 2118FREMar 2819PORApr 0414GWSApr 1216NORApr 1921MELApr 249WCEMay 0217STKMay 1713ESSMay 2216SYDMay 3016BRIJun 146NORJun 2113COLJun 2714MELJul 1215HAWJul 19?WBDJul 2514.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ WBD
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Sam14.9
WBD388.2
Kicks
Sam8.1
WBD229.6
Marks
Sam2.9
WBD106.7
Tackles
Sam2.6
WBD61.2
Clearances
Sam0.5
WBD35.7
Inside 50s
Sam2.1
WBD54.1
Contested poss.
Sam2.9
WBD132.4
Goals
Sam0.1
WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Disposals

388.2per game · league avg 369.3
#4 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands16.5(2)+1.8
Everywhere else14.7(14)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)15.5(2)+0.6
Dry games14.9(14)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.