Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Mason Redman

Essendon · vs ADE

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

55% (6/11)

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Avg

1.5

2.0

L10

1.5

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Masonvs all playersStatADE concedePer game

18.5Disposals356.6

13.9Kicks210.2

5.5Marks80.6

1.5Tackles60.7

0.5Clearances39.3

1.5Inside 50s52.4

3.6Contested Poss.138.8

0.3Goals11.1

Disposals

Mason18.5

ADE356.6

Kicks

Mason13.9

ADE210.2

Marks

Mason5.5

ADE80.6

Tackles

Mason1.5

ADE60.7

Clearances

Mason0.5

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Mason1.5

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Mason3.6

ADE138.8

Goals

Mason0.3

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Tackles

60.7per game · league avg 56.9

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands2.2(50)+0.3

Everywhere else1.9(99)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(18)

Dry games2.0(131)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.