Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Darcy Parish

Essendon · vs ADE

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (7/14)

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Avg

2.4

1.8

L10

2.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Darcyvs all playersStatADE concedePer game

24.5Disposals356.6

12.2Kicks210.2

3.7Marks80.6

2.4Tackles60.7

5.3Clearances39.3

4.4Inside 50s52.4

9.3Contested Poss.138.8

0.1Goals11.1

Disposals

Darcy24.5

ADE356.6

Kicks

Darcy12.2

ADE210.2

Marks

Darcy3.7

ADE80.6

Tackles

Darcy2.4

ADE60.7

Clearances

Darcy5.3

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Darcy4.4

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Darcy9.3

ADE138.8

Goals

Darcy0.1

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Tackles

60.7per game · league avg 56.9

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands3.5(37)-0.1

Everywhere else3.6(87)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.7(14)-1.0

Dry games3.7(110)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.