Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Darcy Parish

Essendon · vs ADE

1.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

36% (5/14)

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Avg

1.0

1.2

L10

1.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Darcyvs all playersStatADE concedePer game

24.5Disposals356.6

12.2Kicks210.2

3.7Marks80.6

2.4Tackles60.7

5.3Clearances39.3

4.4Inside 50s52.4

9.3Contested Poss.138.8

0.1Goals11.1

Disposals

Darcy24.5

ADE356.6

Kicks

Darcy12.2

ADE210.2

Marks

Darcy3.7

ADE80.6

Tackles

Darcy2.4

ADE60.7

Clearances

Darcy5.3

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Darcy4.4

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Darcy9.3

ADE138.8

Goals

Darcy0.1

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Frees For

19.8per game · league avg 19.0

#8 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.6(37)-0.1

Everywhere else0.7(87)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.9(14)+0.2

Dry games0.7(110)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.