Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Zach Merrett

Essendon · vs ADE

4.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

61% (11/18)

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Avg

4.9

4.2

L10

5.2

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Zachvs all playersStatADE concedePer game

27.4Disposals356.6

15.0Kicks210.2

4.9Marks80.6

4.8Tackles60.7

3.1Clearances39.3

3.7Inside 50s52.4

7.5Contested Poss.138.8

0.5Goals11.1

Disposals

Zach27.4

ADE356.6

Kicks

Zach15.0

ADE210.2

Marks

Zach4.9

ADE80.6

Tackles

Zach4.8

ADE60.7

Clearances

Zach3.1

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Zach3.7

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Zach7.5

ADE138.8

Goals

Zach0.5

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Marks

80.6per game · league avg 93.0

#17 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands4.5(52)+0.3

Everywhere else4.2(114)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.7(19)-0.7

Dry games4.4(147)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.