Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Ben McKay

Essendon · vs ADE

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

36% (5/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.1

1.4

L10

1.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Benvs all playersStatADE concedePer game

9.6Disposals356.6

5.6Kicks210.2

4.9Marks80.6

1.1Tackles60.7

0.5Clearances39.3

0.6Inside 50s52.4

3.8Contested Poss.138.8

0.4Goals11.1

Disposals

Ben9.6

ADE356.6

Kicks

Ben5.6

ADE210.2

Marks

Ben4.9

ADE80.6

Tackles

Ben1.1

ADE60.7

Clearances

Ben0.5

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Ben0.6

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Ben3.8

ADE138.8

Goals

Ben0.4

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Tackles

60.7per game · league avg 56.9

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands1.4(18)+0.2

Everywhere else1.2(29)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(5)+0.8

Dry games1.2(42)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.