Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jack Steele

Melbourne · @ GCS

6.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

39% (7/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

6.2

5.8

L10

5.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jackvs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

23.9Disposals359.7

9.6Kicks206.6

3.4Marks83.4

6.2Tackles64.7

5.2Clearances38.2

4.2Inside 50s52.9

10.9Contested Poss.128.1

0.2Goals13.2

Disposals

Jack23.9

GCS359.7

Kicks

Jack9.6

GCS206.6

Marks

Jack3.4

GCS83.4

Tackles

Jack6.2

GCS64.7

Clearances

Jack5.2

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Jack4.2

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Jack10.9

GCS128.1

Goals

Jack0.2

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Tackles

64.7per game · league avg 56.9

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Carrara—(0)

Everywhere else6.2(18)

Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)10.0(1)+4.1

Dry games5.9(17)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.