Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Jack Steele

Melbourne · @ GCS

3.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

39% (7/18)

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Avg

3.4

3.8

L10

2.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jackvs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

23.9Disposals359.7

9.6Kicks206.6

3.4Marks83.4

6.2Tackles64.7

5.2Clearances38.2

4.2Inside 50s52.9

10.9Contested Poss.128.1

0.2Goals13.2

Disposals

Jack23.9

GCS359.7

Kicks

Jack9.6

GCS206.6

Marks

Jack3.4

GCS83.4

Tackles

Jack6.2

GCS64.7

Clearances

Jack5.2

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Jack4.2

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Jack10.9

GCS128.1

Goals

Jack0.2

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Marks

83.4per game · league avg 93.0

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Marks

At Carrara—(0)

Everywhere else3.4(18)

Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(1)+0.6

Dry games3.4(17)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.