Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Andrew McGrath

Essendon · vs ADE

0.5 GAO —U —

Hit rate

53% (8/15)

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Avg

0.6

L10

0.6

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Andrewvs all playersStatADE concedePer game

18.7Disposals356.6

9.3Kicks210.2

3.9Marks80.6

2.0Tackles60.7

1.0Clearances39.3

2.2Inside 50s52.4

5.3Contested Poss.138.8

0.1Goals11.1

Disposals

Andrew18.7

ADE356.6

Kicks

Andrew9.3

ADE210.2

Marks

Andrew3.9

ADE80.6

Tackles

Andrew2.0

ADE60.7

Clearances

Andrew1.0

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Andrew2.2

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Andrew5.3

ADE138.8

Goals

Andrew0.1

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Goal Assists

7.6per game · league avg 9.3

#16 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Docklands0.4(52)+0.1

Everywhere else0.2(102)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.4(17)+0.1

Dry games0.3(137)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.