P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Chayce Jones
Chayce Jones
Adelaide · @ ESS
5.5 HBO U
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.3
L5
5.3
L10
5.3
High
13

Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
13WBDMar 202GEEMar 261FREApr 03?ESSAug 025.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Chayce11.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Chayce6.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Chayce2.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Chayce1.7
ESS50.5
Clearances
Chayce0.0
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Chayce0.7
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Chayce4.7
ESS121.4
Goals
Chayce0.0
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands5.6(10)+1.1
Everywhere else4.5(89)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.5(6)-0.1
Dry games4.6(93)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.