Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Joel Fitzgerald

Melbourne · @ GCS

10.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

60% (3/5)

enter odds to compare

Avg

10.4

L10

10.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 @ GCS

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Joelvs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

21.2Disposals359.7

10.8Kicks206.6

2.4Marks83.4

3.4Tackles64.7

3.0Clearances38.2

3.0Inside 50s52.9

7.0Contested Poss.128.1

0.0Goals13.2

Disposals

Joel21.2

GCS359.7

Kicks

Joel10.8

GCS206.6

Marks

Joel2.4

GCS83.4

Tackles

Joel3.4

GCS64.7

Clearances

Joel3.0

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Joel3.0

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Joel7.0

GCS128.1

Goals

Joel0.0

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Handballs

153.2per game · league avg 155.5

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At Carrara—(0)

Everywhere else10.4(5)

Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)13.0(1)+3.3

Dry games9.8(4)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.