Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Flynn Perez

Hawthorn · vs NOR

1.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

29% (2/7)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.0

L10

1.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Flynnvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

11.3Disposals340.7

5.1Kicks197.6

2.0Marks90.7

3.6Tackles54.6

0.1Clearances33.9

1.3Inside 50s52.3

3.6Contested Poss.119.2

0.0Goals13.4

Disposals

Flynn11.3

NOR340.7

Kicks

Flynn5.1

NOR197.6

Marks

Flynn2.0

NOR90.7

Tackles

Flynn3.6

NOR54.6

Clearances

Flynn0.1

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Flynn1.3

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Flynn3.6

NOR119.2

Goals

Flynn0.0

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Frees For

20.8per game · league avg 19.0

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At York Park0.0(1)-1.2

Everywhere else1.2(6)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)

Dry games1.0(7)

Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.