AFL
PProjectPunt
HAW
Cameron Nairn
Hawthorn · vs ESS
4.5 MKO U
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.3
L5
4.3
L10
4.3
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3ADEMay 215STKMay 282WBDJun 057GCSJun 19?ESSJul 254.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Cameron13.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Cameron7.5
ESS232.6
Marks
Cameron4.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Cameron0.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Cameron0.0
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Cameron0.5
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Cameron2.3
ESS121.4
Goals
Cameron0.0
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.2.0(1)-3.0
Everywhere else5.0(3)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)(0)
Dry games4.3(4)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.