AFL
PProjectPunt
HAW
Will McCabe
Hawthorn · vs ESS
3.5 MKO U
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.5
L5
3.5
L10
3.5
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
4PORApr 184MELJul 041CARJul 115RICJul 19?ESSJul 253.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Will8.8
ESS398.8
Kicks
Will5.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Will3.5
ESS116.9
Tackles
Will1.0
ESS50.5
Clearances
Will0.3
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Will2.0
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Will1.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Will0.5
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.3.0(2)-1.0
Everywhere else4.0(2)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)-3.3
Dry games4.3(3)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.