Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

HAW

Will McCabe

Hawthorn · vs NOR

8.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

50% (2/4)

enter odds to compare

Avg

8.8

L10

8.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 vs NOR

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Willvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

8.8Disposals340.7

5.8Kicks197.6

3.5Marks90.7

1.0Tackles54.6

0.3Clearances33.9

2.0Inside 50s52.3

1.5Contested Poss.119.2

0.5Goals13.4

Disposals

Will8.8

NOR340.7

Kicks

Will5.8

NOR197.6

Marks

Will3.5

NOR90.7

Tackles

Will1.0

NOR54.6

Clearances

Will0.3

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Will2.0

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Will1.5

NOR119.2

Goals

Will0.5

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Disposals

340.7per game · league avg 369.3

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Disposals

At York Park6.0(1)-3.7

Everywhere else9.7(3)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)10.0(1)+1.7

Dry games8.3(3)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.