Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Harry Jones

Essendon · vs ADE

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (2/4)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.3

L10

2.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Harryvs all playersStatADE concedePer game

7.8Disposals356.6

5.5Kicks210.2

3.8Marks80.6

2.3Tackles60.7

0.3Clearances39.3

0.5Inside 50s52.4

2.0Contested Poss.138.8

0.3Goals11.1

Disposals

Harry7.8

ADE356.6

Kicks

Harry5.5

ADE210.2

Marks

Harry3.8

ADE80.6

Tackles

Harry2.3

ADE60.7

Clearances

Harry0.3

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Harry0.5

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Harry2.0

ADE138.8

Goals

Harry0.3

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Tackles

60.7per game · league avg 56.9

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands1.5(22)-0.2

Everywhere else1.6(41)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.4(7)-0.2

Dry games1.6(56)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.