AFL
PProjectPunt
HAW
Matt Hill
Hawthorn · vs ESS
6.5 DIO U
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
enter odds to compare
Avg
6.5
L5
6.5
L10
6.5
High
8

Only 2 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8MELJul 045CARJul 11?ESSJul 256.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Matt6.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Matt2.5
ESS232.6
Marks
Matt0.0
ESS116.9
Tackles
Matt1.0
ESS50.5
Clearances
Matt1.0
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Matt2.0
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Matt3.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Matt1.0
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.5.0(1)-3.0
Everywhere else8.0(1)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)5.0(1)-3.0
Dry games8.0(1)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.