Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jade Gresham

Essendon · vs ADE

4.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

57% (4/7)

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Avg

4.9

4.6

L10

4.9

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jadevs all playersStatADE concedePer game

10.9Disposals356.6

6.0Kicks210.2

1.9Marks80.6

2.7Tackles60.7

0.9Clearances39.3

1.1Inside 50s52.4

3.1Contested Poss.138.8

0.9Goals11.1

Disposals

Jade10.9

ADE356.6

Kicks

Jade6.0

ADE210.2

Marks

Jade1.9

ADE80.6

Tackles

Jade2.7

ADE60.7

Clearances

Jade0.9

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Jade1.1

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Jade3.1

ADE138.8

Goals

Jade0.9

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Handballs

146.3per game · league avg 155.5

#16 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands6.1(17)-0.5

Everywhere else6.6(31)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)7.3(7)+1.0

Dry games6.3(41)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.