Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Christian Petracca

Gold Coast · vs MEL

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (8/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.4

1.0

L10

2.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 vs MEL

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Christianvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

24.8Disposals382.0

11.7Kicks220.8

3.3Marks101.2

2.4Tackles51.0

5.5Clearances35.6

5.1Inside 50s52.3

11.8Contested Poss.129.3

1.4Goals13.1

Disposals

Christian24.8

MEL382.0

Kicks

Christian11.7

MEL220.8

Marks

Christian3.3

MEL101.2

Tackles

Christian2.4

MEL51.0

Clearances

Christian5.5

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Christian5.1

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Christian11.8

MEL129.3

Goals

Christian1.4

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

51.0per game · league avg 56.9

#15 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Carrara1.9(8)-1.1

Everywhere else3.0(8)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)

Dry games2.4(16)

Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.