Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

GCS

Jai Murray

Gold Coast · vs MEL

9.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

43% (3/7)

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Avg

9.3

9.8

L10

9.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jaivs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

14.9Disposals382.0

9.3Kicks220.8

4.0Marks101.2

1.7Tackles51.0

0.4Clearances35.6

2.4Inside 50s52.3

3.7Contested Poss.129.3

0.0Goals13.1

Disposals

Jai14.9

MEL382.0

Kicks

Jai9.3

MEL220.8

Marks

Jai4.0

MEL101.2

Tackles

Jai1.7

MEL51.0

Clearances

Jai0.4

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Jai2.4

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Jai3.7

MEL129.3

Goals

Jai0.0

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Kicks

220.8per game · league avg 213.8

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Carrara9.3(4)-0.1

Everywhere else9.3(3)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)

Dry games9.3(7)

Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.