Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

GCS

Beau Addinsall

Gold Coast · vs MEL

12.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

60% (3/5)

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Avg

12.0

L10

12.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Beauvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

18.6Disposals382.0

6.6Kicks220.8

3.4Marks101.2

2.6Tackles51.0

2.6Clearances35.6

2.0Inside 50s52.3

6.2Contested Poss.129.3

0.0Goals13.1

Disposals

Beau18.6

MEL382.0

Kicks

Beau6.6

MEL220.8

Marks

Beau3.4

MEL101.2

Tackles

Beau2.6

MEL51.0

Clearances

Beau2.6

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Beau2.0

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Beau6.2

MEL129.3

Goals

Beau0.0

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Handballs

161.2per game · league avg 155.5

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Carrara12.3(3)+0.8

Everywhere else11.5(2)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)

Dry games12.0(5)

Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.