AFL
PProjectPunt
Nate Caddy
Nate Caddy
Essendon · @ HAW
1.5 TKO U
Hit rate
35% (6/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.3
L5
0.8
L10
1.2
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2HAWMar 131PORMar 221NORMar 281MELApr 112GCSApr 181COLApr 252BRIMay 021GWSMay 090FREMay 171RICMay 225WCEMay 311CARJun 070MELJun 130NORJun 280STKJul 052BRIJul 122GWSJul 19?HAWJul 251.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ HAW
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Nate9.9
HAW355.0
Kicks
Nate7.7
HAW205.1
Marks
Nate4.2
HAW81.7
Tackles
Nate1.3
HAW60.8
Clearances
Nate0.2
HAW34.2
Inside 50s
Nate1.9
HAW51.3
Contested poss.
Nate3.7
HAW127.8
Goals
Nate1.9
HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Tackles

60.8per game · league avg 56.9
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.1.0(17)-0.3
Everywhere else1.3(27)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.1(7)-0.1
Dry games1.2(37)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.