AFL
PProjectPunt
ESS
Nick Bryan
Essendon · @ HAW
2.5 TKO U
Hit rate
20% (2/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.2
L5
2.4
L10
2.2
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2GWSMay 092FREMay 171RICMay 221WCEMay 314CARJun 072MELJun 132NORJun 284STKJul 052BRIJul 122GWSJul 19?HAWJul 252.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ HAW
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Nick10.6
HAW355.0
Kicks
Nick5.2
HAW205.1
Marks
Nick1.7
HAW81.7
Tackles
Nick2.2
HAW60.8
Clearances
Nick2.7
HAW34.2
Inside 50s
Nick1.5
HAW51.3
Contested poss.
Nick5.7
HAW127.8
Goals
Nick0.2
HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Tackles

60.8per game · league avg 56.9
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.2.6(7)+0.4
Everywhere else2.2(12)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(2)-0.9
Dry games2.4(17)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.