P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
ESS
Nick Bryan
Essendon · vs ADE
24.5 HOO —U —
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
24.7
L5
29.2
L10
24.7
High
34
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
19GWSMay 0911FREMay 17☂21RICMay 2228WCEMay 31☂22CARJun 0724MELJun 1328NORJun 2834STKJul 0529BRIJul 1231GWSJul 19?ADEAug 0224.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Nick10.6
ADE356.6
Kicks
Nick5.2
ADE210.2
Marks
Nick1.7
ADE80.6
Tackles
Nick2.2
ADE60.7
Clearances
Nick2.7
ADE39.3
Inside 50s
Nick1.5
ADE52.4
Contested Poss.
Nick5.7
ADE138.8
Goals
Nick0.2
ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Hitouts

40.0per game · league avg 35.2
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Hitouts

At Docklands20.7(12)+2.2
Everywhere else18.5(21)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Hitouts

Wet games (≥1mm)16.3(3)-3.2
Dry games19.6(30)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.