Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

ESS

Dyson Sharp

Essendon · vs ADE

2.5 CLO —U —

Hit rate

30% (3/10)

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Avg

2.4

3.2

L10

2.4

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Dysonvs all playersStatADE concedePer game

15.1Disposals356.6

7.5Kicks210.2

3.8Marks80.6

2.3Tackles60.7

2.4Clearances39.3

2.0Inside 50s52.4

5.7Contested Poss.138.8

0.3Goals11.1

Disposals

Dyson15.1

ADE356.6

Kicks

Dyson7.5

ADE210.2

Marks

Dyson3.8

ADE80.6

Tackles

Dyson2.3

ADE60.7

Clearances

Dyson2.4

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Dyson2.0

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Dyson5.7

ADE138.8

Goals

Dyson0.3

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Clearances

39.3per game · league avg 35.7

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Clearances

At Docklands3.0(4)+1.0

Everywhere else2.0(6)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Clearances

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)

Dry games2.4(10)

Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.