Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

ESS

Max Kondogiannis

Essendon · vs ADE

6.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

57% (4/7)

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Avg

6.4

5.4

L10

6.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Maxvs all playersStatADE concedePer game

10.7Disposals356.6

4.3Kicks210.2

1.9Marks80.6

1.7Tackles60.7

0.4Clearances39.3

0.7Inside 50s52.4

2.6Contested Poss.138.8

0.1Goals11.1

Disposals

Max10.7

ADE356.6

Kicks

Max4.3

ADE210.2

Marks

Max1.9

ADE80.6

Tackles

Max1.7

ADE60.7

Clearances

Max0.4

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Max0.7

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Max2.6

ADE138.8

Goals

Max0.1

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Handballs

146.3per game · league avg 155.5

#16 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands7.0(2)+0.8

Everywhere else6.2(5)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)8.0(1)+1.8

Dry games6.2(6)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.