Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

CAR

Harry Dean

Carlton · vs BRI

0.5 GAO —U —

Hit rate

7% (1/15)

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Avg

0.1

0.2

L10

0.1

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs BRI

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Harryvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

11.2Disposals356.9

7.0Kicks198.7

4.7Marks79.9

1.3Tackles54.9

0.3Clearances32.9

0.6Inside 50s53.7

3.5Contested Poss.126.1

0.0Goals13.2

Disposals

Harry11.2

BRI356.9

Kicks

Harry7.0

BRI198.7

Marks

Harry4.7

BRI79.9

Tackles

Harry1.3

BRI54.9

Clearances

Harry0.3

BRI32.9

Inside 50s

Harry0.6

BRI53.7

Contested Poss.

Harry3.5

BRI126.1

Goals

Harry0.0

BRI13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Goal Assists

10.0per game · league avg 9.3

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Docklands0.3(3)+0.3

Everywhere else0.0(12)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-0.1

Dry games0.1(13)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.