AFL
PProjectPunt
Daniel McStay
Daniel McStay
Collingwood · @ ADE
2.5 HOO U
Hit rate
33% (6/18)
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Avg
2.3
L5
4.8
L10
3.6
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1STKMar 083ADEMar 140GWSMar 271BRIApr 021FREApr 100CARApr 160ESSApr 250HAWApr 300GEEMay 092SYDMay 152WCEMay 230WBDMay 308MELJun 082PORJun 204RICJun 273GCSJul 045NORJul 1010CARJul 18?ADEJul 232.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ ADE
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Daniel9.0
ADE356.6
Kicks
Daniel5.3
ADE210.2
Marks
Daniel4.2
ADE80.6
Tackles
Daniel2.6
ADE60.7
Clearances
Daniel0.7
ADE39.3
Inside 50s
Daniel1.9
ADE52.4
Contested poss.
Daniel4.5
ADE138.8
Goals
Daniel1.7
ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Hitouts

40.0per game · league avg 35.2
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Hitouts

At Adelaide Oval2.3(3)-0.6
Everywhere else2.9(38)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Hitouts

Wet games (≥1mm)3.5(6)+0.8
Dry games2.7(35)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.