Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Daniel McStay

Collingwood · vs GEE

3.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

50% (9/18)

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Avg

3.7

4.8

L10

4.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs GEE

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9.1°C☂ 0.3mm (4%)🌬 5.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Danielvs all playersStatGEE concedePer game

9.0Disposals377.4

5.3Kicks213.3

4.2Marks82.7

2.6Tackles64.5

0.7Clearances38.8

1.9Inside 50s51.0

4.5Contested Poss.133.8

1.7Goals12.2

Disposals

Daniel9.0

GEE377.4

Kicks

Daniel5.3

GEE213.3

Marks

Daniel4.2

GEE82.7

Tackles

Daniel2.6

GEE64.5

Clearances

Daniel0.7

GEE38.8

Inside 50s

Daniel1.9

GEE51.0

Contested Poss.

Daniel4.5

GEE133.8

Goals

Daniel1.7

GEE12.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GEE concede · Handballs

164.1per game · league avg 155.5

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.3.4(36)-0.3

Everywhere else3.7(19)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)2.6(7)-1.0

Dry games3.6(48)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.