AFL
PProjectPunt
Daniel McStay
Daniel McStay
Collingwood · @ ADE
1.5 GLO U
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.7
L5
1.8
L10
1.8
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1STKMar 080ADEMar 142GWSMar 274BRIApr 021FREApr 102CARApr 162ESSApr 251HAWApr 303GEEMay 091SYDMay 152WCEMay 231WBDMay 302MELJun 081PORJun 200RICJun 273GCSJul 043NORJul 102CARJul 18?ADEJul 231.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ ADE
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Daniel9.0
ADE356.6
Kicks
Daniel5.3
ADE210.2
Marks
Daniel4.2
ADE80.6
Tackles
Daniel2.6
ADE60.7
Clearances
Daniel0.7
ADE39.3
Inside 50s
Daniel1.9
ADE52.4
Contested poss.
Daniel4.5
ADE138.8
Goals
Daniel1.7
ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Goals

11.1per game · league avg 12.7
#17 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Goals

At Adelaide Oval0.7(3)-0.8
Everywhere else1.5(38)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)0.7(6)-0.9
Dry games1.5(35)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.