AFL
PProjectPunt
Daniel McStay
Daniel McStay
Collingwood · @ ADE
9.5 DIO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
9.0
L5
9.6
L10
9.2
High
12
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
6STKMar 0810ADEMar 149GWSMar 278BRIApr 028FREApr 107CARApr 1611ESSApr 2511HAWApr 306GEEMay 0911SYDMay 157WCEMay 239WBDMay 3011MELJun 0810PORJun 209RICJun 2711GCSJul 0412NORJul 106CARJul 18?ADEJul 239.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ ADE
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Daniel9.0
ADE356.6
Kicks
Daniel5.3
ADE210.2
Marks
Daniel4.2
ADE80.6
Tackles
Daniel2.6
ADE60.7
Clearances
Daniel0.7
ADE39.3
Inside 50s
Daniel1.9
ADE52.4
Contested poss.
Daniel4.5
ADE138.8
Goals
Daniel1.7
ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Disposals

356.6per game · league avg 369.3
#15 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Disposals

At Adelaide Oval7.7(3)-1.9
Everywhere else9.6(38)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)8.0(6)-1.7
Dry games9.7(35)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.