Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Sam Draper

Brisbane Lions · @ CAR

0.5 GLO —U —

Hit rate

53% (9/17)

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Avg

0.6

L10

0.7

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Samvs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

10.4Disposals363.6

8.2Kicks210.2

2.4Marks89.8

0.8Tackles59.8

3.8Clearances35.7

2.6Inside 50s52.9

6.7Contested Poss.127.7

0.6Goals12.8

Disposals

Sam10.4

CAR363.6

Kicks

Sam8.2

CAR210.2

Marks

Sam2.4

CAR89.8

Tackles

Sam0.8

CAR59.8

Clearances

Sam3.8

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Sam2.6

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Sam6.7

CAR127.7

Goals

Sam0.6

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Goals

12.8per game · league avg 12.7

#9 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Goals

At Docklands0.0(2)-0.7

Everywhere else0.7(15)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)

Dry games0.6(17)

Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.