P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Toby Murray
Toby Murray
Adelaide · @ ESS
9.5 HOO U
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
9.2
L5
13.2
L10
9.4
High
18
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
7COLMar 146BRIApr 263PORMay 014RICMay 1013NORMay 162HAWMay 2110GEEJun 0413WBDJun 1111WCEJul 0318GCSJul 1114SYDJul 17?ESSAug 029.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Toby6.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Toby4.9
ESS232.6
Marks
Toby2.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Toby2.4
ESS50.5
Clearances
Toby0.8
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Toby1.2
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Toby3.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Toby0.7
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Hitouts

30.8per game · league avg 35.2
#13 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Hitouts

At Docklands13.0(1)+4.2
Everywhere else8.8(10)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Hitouts

Wet games (≥1mm)13.0(1)+4.2
Dry games8.8(10)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.