P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Toby Murray
Toby Murray
Adelaide · @ ESS
1.5 FFO —U —
Hit rate
27% (3/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.4
L5
1.0
L10
1.5
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0COLMar 142BRIApr 261PORMay 016RICMay 101NORMay 16☂0HAWMay 211GEEJun 041WBDJun 112WCEJul 031GCSJul 110SYDJul 17?ESSAug 021.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Toby6.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Toby4.9
ESS232.6
Marks
Toby2.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Toby2.4
ESS50.5
Clearances
Toby0.8
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Toby1.2
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Toby3.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Toby0.7
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Frees For

18.7per game · league avg 19.0
#10 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands1.0(1)-0.4
Everywhere else1.4(10)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)-0.4
Dry games1.4(10)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.