Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Lachlan McAndrew

Adelaide · @ ESS

0.5 GLO —U —

Hit rate

28% (5/18)

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Avg

0.3

0.4

L10

0.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lachlanvs all playersStatESS concedePer game

11.7Disposals398.8

5.6Kicks232.6

2.6Marks116.9

4.8Tackles50.5

4.5Clearances33.3

2.2Inside 50s55.1

8.0Contested Poss.121.4

0.3Goals15.0

Disposals

Lachlan11.7

ESS398.8

Kicks

Lachlan5.6

ESS232.6

Marks

Lachlan2.6

ESS116.9

Tackles

Lachlan4.8

ESS50.5

Clearances

Lachlan4.5

ESS33.3

Inside 50s

Lachlan2.2

ESS55.1

Contested Poss.

Lachlan8.0

ESS121.4

Goals

Lachlan0.3

ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goals

15.0per game · league avg 12.7

#2 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At Docklands0.0(1)-0.4

Everywhere else0.4(17)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)+1.8

Dry games0.2(17)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.