Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Ned Long

Collingwood · vs GEE

6.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

44% (7/16)

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Avg

6.1

6.4

L10

5.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs GEE

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9.1°C☂ 0.3mm (4%)🌬 5.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Nedvs all playersStatGEE concedePer game

16.2Disposals377.4

6.4Kicks213.3

3.0Marks82.7

6.1Tackles64.5

1.9Clearances38.8

2.3Inside 50s51.0

6.1Contested Poss.133.8

0.3Goals12.2

Disposals

Ned16.2

GEE377.4

Kicks

Ned6.4

GEE213.3

Marks

Ned3.0

GEE82.7

Tackles

Ned6.1

GEE64.5

Clearances

Ned1.9

GEE38.8

Inside 50s

Ned2.3

GEE51.0

Contested Poss.

Ned6.1

GEE133.8

Goals

Ned0.3

GEE12.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GEE concede · Tackles

64.5per game · league avg 56.9

#2 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.6.6(30)+0.2

Everywhere else6.3(18)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)4.5(6)-2.3

Dry games6.8(42)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.