AFL
PProjectPunt
Patrick Lipinski
Patrick Lipinski
Collingwood · @ ADE
2.5 TKO U
Hit rate
53% (9/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.6
L5
2.8
L10
2.5
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2STKMar 085ADEMar 140GWSMar 272BRIApr 024FREApr 103CARApr 163ESSApr 253HAWApr 302GEEMay 092WCEMay 234WBDMay 300MELJun 081PORJun 201RICJun 275GCSJul 043NORJul 104CARJul 18?ADEJul 232.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ ADE
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Patrick20.2
ADE356.6
Kicks
Patrick8.6
ADE210.2
Marks
Patrick4.6
ADE80.6
Tackles
Patrick2.6
ADE60.7
Clearances
Patrick1.5
ADE39.3
Inside 50s
Patrick2.4
ADE52.4
Contested poss.
Patrick4.9
ADE138.8
Goals
Patrick0.5
ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Tackles

60.7per game · league avg 56.9
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Adelaide Oval2.2(5)-0.6
Everywhere else2.8(58)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.2(6)+0.4
Dry games2.7(57)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.