Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Patrick Lipinski

Collingwood · vs GEE

1.5 CLO —U —

Hit rate

41% (7/17)

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Avg

1.5

1.6

L10

1.7

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs GEE

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9.1°C☂ 0.3mm (4%)🌬 5.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Patrickvs all playersStatGEE concedePer game

20.2Disposals377.4

8.6Kicks213.3

4.6Marks82.7

2.6Tackles64.5

1.5Clearances38.8

2.4Inside 50s51.0

4.9Contested Poss.133.8

0.5Goals12.2

Disposals

Patrick20.2

GEE377.4

Kicks

Patrick8.6

GEE213.3

Marks

Patrick4.6

GEE82.7

Tackles

Patrick2.6

GEE64.5

Clearances

Patrick1.5

GEE38.8

Inside 50s

Patrick2.4

GEE51.0

Contested Poss.

Patrick4.9

GEE133.8

Goals

Patrick0.5

GEE12.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GEE concede · Clearances

38.8per game · league avg 35.7

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Clearances

At M.C.G.1.9(65)-0.3

Everywhere else2.2(37)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Clearances

Wet games (≥1mm)2.9(10)+1.0

Dry games1.9(92)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.