Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jobe Shanahan

West Coast · @ RIC

3.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

39% (7/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

3.1

3.4

L10

3.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ RIC

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jobevs all playersStatRIC concedePer game

9.1Disposals391.8

6.0Kicks224.9

4.8Marks107.6

1.2Tackles53.8

0.0Clearances33.7

1.1Inside 50s56.5

4.0Contested Poss.129.3

1.4Goals15.3

Disposals

Jobe9.1

RIC391.8

Kicks

Jobe6.0

RIC224.9

Marks

Jobe4.8

RIC107.6

Tackles

Jobe1.2

RIC53.8

Clearances

Jobe0.0

RIC33.7

Inside 50s

Jobe1.1

RIC56.5

Contested Poss.

Jobe4.0

RIC129.3

Goals

Jobe1.4

RIC15.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

RIC concede · Handballs

166.9per game · league avg 155.5

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.6.0(1)+3.5

Everywhere else2.5(26)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)-1.7

Dry games2.7(26)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.