Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Liam Baker

West Coast · @ RIC

8.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

41% (7/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

8.9

10.8

L10

9.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ RIC

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Liamvs all playersStatRIC concedePer game

17.4Disposals391.8

8.9Kicks224.9

2.9Marks107.6

2.1Tackles53.8

1.2Clearances33.7

2.7Inside 50s56.5

6.6Contested Poss.129.3

0.4Goals15.3

Disposals

Liam17.4

RIC391.8

Kicks

Liam8.9

RIC224.9

Marks

Liam2.9

RIC107.6

Tackles

Liam2.1

RIC53.8

Clearances

Liam1.2

RIC33.7

Inside 50s

Liam2.7

RIC56.5

Contested Poss.

Liam6.6

RIC129.3

Goals

Liam0.4

RIC15.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

RIC concede · Kicks

224.9per game · league avg 213.8

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.8.5(2)-1.9

Everywhere else10.4(38)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)6.0(1)-4.4

Dry games10.4(39)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.