Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Liam Baker

West Coast · @ RIC

0.5 GAO —U —

Hit rate

35% (6/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.4

0.2

L10

0.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ RIC

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Liamvs all playersStatRIC concedePer game

17.4Disposals391.8

8.9Kicks224.9

2.9Marks107.6

2.1Tackles53.8

1.2Clearances33.7

2.7Inside 50s56.5

6.6Contested Poss.129.3

0.4Goals15.3

Disposals

Liam17.4

RIC391.8

Kicks

Liam8.9

RIC224.9

Marks

Liam2.9

RIC107.6

Tackles

Liam2.1

RIC53.8

Clearances

Liam1.2

RIC33.7

Inside 50s

Liam2.7

RIC56.5

Contested Poss.

Liam6.6

RIC129.3

Goals

Liam0.4

RIC15.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

RIC concede · Goal Assists

11.6per game · league avg 9.3

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At M.C.G.0.0(2)-0.4

Everywhere else0.4(38)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-0.4

Dry games0.4(39)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.