Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Joel Hamling

Sydney · @ STK

3.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

67% (4/6)

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Avg

3.5

3.0

L10

3.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Joelvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

8.2Disposals379.3

3.5Kicks220.4

3.5Marks100.9

1.3Tackles50.0

0.0Clearances34.4

0.3Inside 50s52.1

4.0Contested Poss.123.7

0.2Goals12.4

Disposals

Joel8.2

STK379.3

Kicks

Joel3.5

STK220.4

Marks

Joel3.5

STK100.9

Tackles

Joel1.3

STK50.0

Clearances

Joel0.0

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Joel0.3

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Joel4.0

STK123.7

Goals

Joel0.2

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Kicks

220.4per game · league avg 213.8

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Docklands3.0(3)-1.1

Everywhere else4.1(17)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)

Dry games3.9(20)

Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.