Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

SYD

Riley Bice

Sydney · @ STK

9.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

44% (7/16)

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Avg

9.4

10.2

L10

9.7

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Rileyvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

21.4Disposals379.3

12.1Kicks220.4

5.4Marks100.9

1.8Tackles50.0

0.5Clearances34.4

2.1Inside 50s52.1

4.7Contested Poss.123.7

0.1Goals12.4

Disposals

Riley21.4

STK379.3

Kicks

Riley12.1

STK220.4

Marks

Riley5.4

STK100.9

Tackles

Riley1.8

STK50.0

Clearances

Riley0.5

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Riley2.1

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Riley4.7

STK123.7

Goals

Riley0.1

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Handballs

158.9per game · league avg 155.5

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands7.0(5)-0.2

Everywhere else7.2(27)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)6.0(1)-1.2

Dry games7.2(31)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.