AFL
PProjectPunt
STK
Liam OConnell
St Kilda · @ NOR
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
38% (3/8)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.5
L5
0.2
L10
0.5
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0CARMay 022GCSMay 091RICMay 170FREMay 220HAWMay 280ESSJul 051PORJul 110GEEJul 16?NORJul 260.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ NOR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Liam11.3
NOR340.7
Kicks
Liam6.1
NOR197.6
Marks
Liam3.5
NOR90.7
Tackles
Liam3.0
NOR54.6
Clearances
Liam0.5
NOR33.9
Inside 50s
Liam0.1
NOR52.3
Contested poss.
Liam4.1
NOR119.2
Goals
Liam0.0
NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Frees For

20.8per game · league avg 19.0
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.3(9)-0.5
Everywhere else0.8(6)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)+0.5
Dry games0.5(14)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.