Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

STK

Liam OConnell

St Kilda · vs SYD

11.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

38% (3/8)

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Avg

11.3

12.2

L10

11.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs SYD

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Liamvs all playersStatSYD concedePer game

11.3Disposals365.6

6.1Kicks210.9

3.5Marks80.8

3.0Tackles54.6

0.5Clearances38.8

0.1Inside 50s55.2

4.1Contested Poss.139.3

0.0Goals11.6

Disposals

Liam11.3

SYD365.6

Kicks

Liam6.1

SYD210.9

Marks

Liam3.5

SYD80.8

Tackles

Liam3.0

SYD54.6

Clearances

Liam0.5

SYD38.8

Inside 50s

Liam0.1

SYD55.2

Contested Poss.

Liam4.1

SYD139.3

Goals

Liam0.0

SYD11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SYD concede · Disposals

365.6per game · league avg 369.3

#10 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands8.3(9)-1.3

Everywhere else9.7(6)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)9.0(1)+0.1

Dry games8.9(14)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.